Paper published:

Complexity promotes stability in mutualistic networks through weaker mutualistic dependencies
Mutualistic networks provide essential contributions to long-term ecosystem functioning and food security, but Anthropocene stressors continue to alter their structure and size. Previous theoretical approaches produce conflicting predictions for how network features influence dynamical stability, which is the ability to return to the original state after a disturbance. The main methods, which are random matrix models and conventional differential equation models, face certain limitations, including difficulties in incorporating some biological details or explicit parameterization. An alternative approach is given by Generalized Modelling, which combines both high efficiency with high biological realism, but has not been applied to plant–animal mutualistic networks prior to this study. Here, we develop a Generalized Model for mutualism that allows the mathematically rigorous and highly efficient analysis of dynamical stability for many network replicates ( ∼105 per data point). The model incorporates important biological mechanisms that are known to influence stability behaviour, such as animal competition for limited plant resources and saturating mutualistic benefits, without the need for explicit parameterization. Using simulated network structures we find increasing dynamical stability with increasing complexity as measured by the product of species richness and connectance. We are able to explain this effect mechanistically: While mutualistic interactions do represent destabilizing positive feedbacks, the strengths of those feedbacks weaken with increasing complexity because mutualistic dependencies as given by the Jacobian matrix elements in the off-diagonal blocks decrease. We further show that the effect of nestedness on the dynamical stability of simulated networks is negligible compared to the effect of connectance and species richness. Additionally, we find similar relationships between network features and dynamical stability for 160 empirical networks as an input for our model, highlighting the robustness of our findings. As Anthropocene stressors lead to species and interaction loss, our model results predict a corresponding loss in dynamical stability if network complexity is decreased, highlighting the urgency of conservation strategies that preserve network complexity.

Paper published:

Seasonal dynamics, spatial variability and shifts in plankton communities in Fram Strait
The HAUSGARTEN Long-Term Ecological Research (LTER) observatory serves as a key information source on the processes occurring in the Fram Strait — a pivotal water exchange zone between the North Atlantic and the Arctic Ocean. This article presents an analysis of the frequencies of amplicon sequence variants (ASVs), derived from 18S rRNA gene metabarcoding profiles of 775 samples, collected in the photic zone during annual expeditions conducted between late May and early October from 2009 to 2021. We investigated spatial and temporal changes in the composition of eukaryotic plankton communities which are major contributors to primary production and fuel the food webs in Arctic marine environments. Our study reveals significant annual and inter-annual patterns in the eukaryotic community composition. Aggregating data by month shows distinct seasonal and spatial differences in the eukaryotic community composition, with biodiversity generally increasing with depth (in both regions) and from June to September. This increase is primarily driven by a rise in Syndiniales and Dinophyceae diversity at greater depths and towards autumn. Inter-annually, biodiversity notably declined, and the June–July community structure shifted significantly in the eastern part, influenced by warmer Atlantic waters, with increased copepod ASVs and reduced frequencies of Syndiniales, Dinophyceae, and various primary producer ASVs, whereas the western part, influenced by polar waters, remained relatively stable. Our findings suggest that ongoing environmental change is altering planktonic communities, potentially affecting carbon circulation pathways and carbon sequestration rates in Fram Strait, with its eastern part being stronger impacted, compared to the western part.

Paper published:

Cross-feeding creates tipping points in microbiome diversity
A key unresolved question in microbial ecology is how the extraordinary diversity of microbiomes emerges from the interactions among their many functionally distinct populations. This process is driven in part by the cross-feeding networks that help to structure these systems, in which consumers use resources to fuel their metabolism, creating by-products which can be used by others in the community. Understanding the effects of cross-feeding presents a major challenge, as it creates complex interdependencies between populations which can be hard to untangle. We address this problem using the tools of network science to develop a structural microbial community model. Using methods from percolation theory, we identify feasible community states for cross-feeding network structures in which the needs of consumers are met by metabolite production across the community. We identify tipping points at which small changes in structure can cause the catastrophic collapse of cross-feeding networks and abrupt declines in microbial community diversity. Our results are an example of a well-defined tipping point in a complex ecological system and provide insight into the fundamental processes shaping microbiomes and their robustness. We further demonstrate this by considering how network attacks affect community diversity and apply our results to show how the apparent difficulty in culturing the microbial diversity emerges as an inherent property of their cross-feeding networks.